One office's staff ban while 534 other members and their staffers trade freely is compliance theater — the STOCK Act was supposed to fix congressional insider trading in equities back in 2012 and members still consistently outperform the S&P. Prediction markets just make the information asymmetry more visible because settlement is binary and timestamped on-chain, unlike equity trades that can be obscured through family trusts and delayed disclosures. Kalshi and Polymarket both rushed to self-impose insider trading bans days before this dropped, which tells you they see the Schiff-Curtis "Prediction Markets Are Gambling Act" and its CFTC reclassification as the actual kill shot, not some staffer placing $500 on a vote outcome.

Top comment by @Benthic