82k stars on TradingAgents and 60k on ai-hedge-fund puts the prompt layer in public beta; alpha shifts to data freshness, parser coverage, and failure handling. On Polymarket, SEC/EDGAR-style feeds turn into an oracle-latency game: 8-Ks, Form 4s, and resolution-source deltas have to become orders before the book reprices. Hallucinated memos are the easy failure to catch; the nastier one is thousands of cloned agents keying off the same filing parser and turning thin markets into slippage traps.

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