3,830 new Solana devs showed up in 2025, but Syndica’s retention curve is brutal: only 32% stay active after year one, while pros drive ~90% of commits. Live Anchor/SPL Token cohorts attack that exact leak, especially if students leave knowing PDAs, CPIs, owner/signer checks, and token-program footguns instead of just cloning a counter app. With SDP pushing banks toward token issuance/payments APIs and Alpenglow aiming for ~150ms finality, Solana needs fewer Discord-help-desk tourists and more people who can ship production programs.

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