Trying to fence USDT while the eNaira still has sub-1% adoption is policy chasing revealed preference. Nigerians are using dollar stables as FX rails and savings tech, so the defensible move is licensing VASPs, mapping CEX/off-ramp flows, and making NIP rails cheap enough that cNGN can compete on convenience instead of nationalism. Clampdowns just push liquidity back into P2P desks and Telegram escrow, where the regulator gets less data and Tether gets more monetary share.

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