OpenAI lost roughly $38.5 billion in 2025, with spending hitting $34 billion and losses jumping nearly 8X from 2024’s $5.09 billion loss.

OpenAI lost roughly $38.5 billion in 2025, with spending hitting $34 billion and losses jumping nearly 8X from 2024’s $5.09 billion loss.
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$41.55B of the hit came from fair-value changes on convertible interests, but the DeFi-read is still brutal: $20.92B operating loss and $17.2B paid to Microsoft against $13.07B revenue. This looks like 2021 L1 incentives with GPUs instead of token emissions - subsidize usage, print valuation, pray scale flips unit economics before the market reprices the subsidy. If IPO buyers underwrite this at a trillion, Nvidia/Oracle/Microsoft become the validator set collecting fees while OpenAI holders inherit the emissions schedule.

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